CUMULATIVE PnL
Trade-by-trade running total ($)WIN RATE BY STRATEGY
Reference line at 54% (minimum gate)LAST 10 TRADES
0 logged| # | Date/Time | Sport | Strategy | Regime | Market | Entry | Exit | PnL | W/L | Notes |
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LIVE
S8 · HEDGE LOCK — OPEN POSITION ALERTS
— hedge candidates
+ ADD PAPER POSITION
| SOURCE | MARKET | HELD | ENTRY | NOW | LOCKED PROFIT | FEE EST | NET |
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No positions to evaluate.
Trigger: held YES position rose >30c above entry AND yes_ask + no_ask < 0.98. LOCKED PROFIT shows the marginal edge of hedging vs closing at market. NET is after estimated Kalshi fees (0.07 × C × P × (1−P)). Only hedges with positive NET surface.
S1 · FAVORITE-LONGSHOT BIAS SCANNER
— opportunities| ACTION | MARKET | YES | NO | SPREAD | SPORT | GAME IN |
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S10 · PROPS BIAS FADE — KALSHI VS VEGAS LINE
— gaps| ACTION | MARKET | KALSHI YES | VEGAS IMPLIED | GAP | SPORT | GAME IN |
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FADE = Kalshi yes_ask above Vegas implied (buy NO). VALUE = Kalshi below Vegas (buy YES). Vig-removed average across US bookmakers.
S9 · FUTURES VALUE — KALSHI CHAMPIONSHIP VS VEGAS OUTRIGHTS
— gaps| ACTION | TEAM | KALSHI YES | VEGAS IMPLIED | GAP | DAYS | SPORT |
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FADE = Kalshi yes_ask above Vegas implied (buy NO). VALUE = Kalshi below Vegas (buy YES). 30-min refresh; futures don't move fast. Contracts default to 50 per playbook (25% of normal size — capital lock-up is the cost).
INJURY & NEWS FEED
— headlines refreshing in 5:00No injury reports in the last 24 hours for the selected sport.
Source: ESPN unofficial site API — no key required. Player reports cross-referenced against your open paper trades; matches surface a ⚠ OPEN POSITION AFFECTED banner. MMA shows headlines (UFC doesn't ship structured injury reports).
S3 · INFORMED FLOW ALERTS — SHARP LATE MONEY DETECTED
— alerts| DIRECTION | MARKET | MOVE | VOL SURGE | SPORT | CLOSES IN |
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Monitoring 0 markets — collecting baseline data. First alerts possible in ~15 minutes.
Tracks every market's yes_ask and 24h volume each refresh. Fires when YES moves ≥5c with a 2× volume surge inside any 15-minute window AND the game starts in <60 min.
S5 · LIVE MOMENTUM — IN-GAME PRICE MOVES
— alerts| DIRECTION | MARKET | MOVE | TIME IN WINDOW |
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No live games in progress — S5 activates during active games only
Streams orderbook deltas via SSE from your local server. Fires when yes_ask moves ≥5c within a 90-second window on a market that is active, has volume, and received a delta in the last 60s. Pre-game movement is tracked by S3, not S5.
S2 · MAKER MODE — THIN MARKET OPPORTUNITIES
— opportunities| MARKET | YES BID | YES ASK | SPREAD | VOL | SPORT | ACTION |
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Maker edge is paid by the spread. Skip if a news catalyst is expected within 2 hours — spread will compress.
S7 · INTRA-MARKET ARB SCANNER
— opportunities| MARKET | YES | NO | SUM | PROFIT/100 | SPORT | GAME IN |
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Note: Kalshi fee = 0.07 × C × P × (1−P). Deduct ~0.5–1.5c per 100 contracts at midrange prices — a $0.95 sum is typically 0.5–1.5c of true edge after fees.
REGIME PERFORMANCE
Per-regime breakdown for current mode| Regime | Trades | Win Rate | Avg PnL | Best Strategy | Status |
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